MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Matt Gage
Matt Gage
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Matt Gage wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
97.0
Matt Gage
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.1%
Matt Gage
11.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.7%
Matt Gage
17.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.7%
Matt Gage
34.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
44.6%
Matt Gage
31.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
9.6%
Matt Gage
10.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.279
Matt Gage
.352
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
2.144.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.67
Matt Gage
2.144.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.76
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
11.37
now 1.08
1.23
Matt Gage
11.37
now 1.29
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4052.80
now 42
29
Matt Gage
4052.80
now 19
15
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0005.20
now 2
12
Matt Gage
.0005.20
now 4
24
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00028
now 20
917
Matt Gage
.00028
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeMatt Gage — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet