Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryMatt
53K ←31
3.60ERA ←3.71
1.22WHIP ←1.25
2–4W →3–9
19–35SV ←1–3
Current Season
CadeCategoryMatt
42K ←19
2.60ERA ←2.63
1.08WHIP ←1.29
2W →4
20SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.33)
Matt Gage
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.227 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.05 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith: 55 K / 3.60 ERA. Matt Gage: 32 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).