Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryOrlando
53K ←25
3.60ERA ←3.70
1.22WHIP ←1.24
2–4W ←0–0
19–35SV ←2–7
Current Season
CadeCategoryOrlando
42K ←12
2.60ERA →1.72
1.08WHIP →0.89
2W ←0
20SV ←2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.33)
Orlando Ribalta
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.196 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.73 is 0.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith: 56 K / 3.60 ERA. Orlando Ribalta: 26 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).