Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryPierce
53K ←37
3.60ERA ←3.75
1.22WHIP ←1.24
2–4W2–5
19–35SV ←1–3
Current Season
CadeCategoryPierce
42K ←20
2.60ERA ←3.27
1.08WHIP ←1.23
2W2
20SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.33)
Pierce Johnson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.23 is 2.96 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith: 55 K / 3.60 ERA. Pierce Johnson: 38 K / 3.75 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).