MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Rico Garcia
Rico Garcia
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves. Rico Garcia’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Rico Garcia wins 0 (none); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
Rico Garcia
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.0%
Rico Garcia
17.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.8%
Rico Garcia
27.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.5%
Rico Garcia
27.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.2%
Rico Garcia
35.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.4%
Rico Garcia
6.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.286
Rico Garcia
.274
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
24.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
Rico Garcia
24.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.71
3.67
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9001.48
now 1.08
1.23
Rico Garcia
.9001.48
now 0.63
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4050.40
now 42
34
Rico Garcia
4050.40
now 28
21
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.2003.80
now 2
12
Rico Garcia
.2003.80
now 3
23
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00028.60
now 20
1121
Rico Garcia
.00028.60
now 3
23
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighRico Garcia — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.73
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