MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to
Engraved portrait of Rico Garcia
Rico Garcia
BAL·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

CadeCategoryRico
66K 37
3.60ERA 3.62
1.22WHIP 1.24
2–5W 3–7
23–43SV 4–7

Current Season

CadeCategoryRico
42K 28
2.60ERA 0.71
1.08WHIP 0.63
2W 3
20SV 3

What Each Player's System Trusts

Cade Smith
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Rico Garcia
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.113 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.10 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming

Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Rico Garcia: 37 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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