MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Zack Kelly
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 5 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W, SV); Zack Kelly wins 0 (none).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
Zack Kelly
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.2%
Zack Kelly
9.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
35.3%
Zack Kelly
19.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.8%
Zack Kelly
28.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
44.8%
Zack Kelly
38.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.3%
Zack Kelly
8.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.282
Zack Kelly
.368
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
2.164.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.67
Zack Kelly
2.164.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.31
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
11.37
now 1.08
1.23
Zack Kelly
11.37
now 1.29
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4053.20
now 42
32
Zack Kelly
4053.20
now 14
17
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0002.80
now 2
12
Zack Kelly
.0002.80
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00028
now 20
1120
Zack Kelly
.00028
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeZack Kelly — hold.conf 0.50
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