Rest of Season Projection
CalCategoryDrake
12HR →14
27R →57
30RBI →56
3SB ←1
.180AVG →.283
Current Season
CalCategoryDrake
7HR →13
16R →39
18RBI →38
2SB ←1
.161AVG →.303
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cal Raleigh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.192 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Drake Baldwin
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.418, +0.103 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Cal Raleigh: 12 HR / 27 R. Drake Baldwin: 14 HR / 58 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).