MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 30, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Chase Silseth
Chase Silseth
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 1 (K); Chase Silseth wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.4
Chase Silseth
96.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.1%
Chase Silseth
15.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
20.8%
Chase Silseth
27.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
30.2%
Chase Silseth
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
33.8%
Chase Silseth
32.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
4.4%
Chase Silseth
8.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.295
Chase Silseth
.302
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Chase Silseth
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.74
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.72
now 0.60
1.24
Chase Silseth
.9001.72
now 1.40
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4032.60
now 6
25
Chase Silseth
4032.60
now 20
15
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0001.48
now 0
00
Chase Silseth
.0001.48
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeChase Silseth — hold.conf 0.50
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