MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Robby Ahlstrom
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Ferguson wins 0 (none); Robby Ahlstrom wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.4
Robby Ahlstrom
94.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.5%
Robby Ahlstrom
12.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
21.3%
Robby Ahlstrom
18.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
30.7%
Robby Ahlstrom
28.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
33.3%
Robby Ahlstrom
31.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
4.8%
Robby Ahlstrom
3.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.296
Robby Ahlstrom
.313
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Robby Ahlstrom
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.74
now 0.60
1.24
Robby Ahlstrom
.9001.74
now 0.00
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4035.60
now 6
26
Robby Ahlstrom
4035.60
now 2
26
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.000.480
now 0
00
Robby Ahlstrom
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowRobby Ahlstrom — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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