MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Jhoan Duran
Jhoan Duran
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jhoan Duran.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Jhoan Duran wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Jhoan Duran
100.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
14.6%
Jhoan Duran
18.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
29.2%
Jhoan Duran
34.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
36.5%
Jhoan Duran
35.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
39.8%
Jhoan Duran
40.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
11.0%
Jhoan Duran
3.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.328
Jhoan Duran
.226
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
24.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
Jhoan Duran
24.57
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.53
2.11
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
.9001.49
now 1.34
1.24
Jhoan Duran
.9001.49
now 0.96
1.03

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4034.40
now 15
5
Jhoan Duran
4034.40
now 26
6
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0002.80
now 2
01
Jhoan Duran
.0002.80
now 1
00
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.00016.80
now 2
01
Jhoan Duran
.00016.80
now 12
24
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
BuyJhoan Duran — buy.conf 0.92
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