Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryConnelly
114K ←93
2.75ERA ←4.39
1.05WHIP ←1.32
6–14W ←5–11
0SV0
Current Season
CamCategoryConnelly
81K ←57
1.50ERA ←2.95
0.85WHIP ←1.16
7W ←5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Connelly Early
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.259 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.55 is 1.25 above the ERA — regression coming
Cam Schlittler: 117 K / 2.74 ERA. Connelly Early: 95 K / 4.38 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).