Rest of Season Projection
CarsonCategoryTroy
12HR ←8
44R ←38
33RBI →41
14SB ←5
.277AVG →.297
Current Season
CarsonCategoryTroy
4HR ←2
28R ←23
21RBI →25
9SB ←3
.248AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carson Benge
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.345, +0.030 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.404 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.330 is 0.033 below the surface — regression coming
Carson Benge: 12 HR / 44 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).