Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategoryTyler
57K ←38
3.73ERA →3.71
1.39WHIP →1.25
2–7W ←1–2
1–5SV ←0
Current Season
ChadCategoryTyler
34K ←24
2.54ERA ←4.23
1.20WHIP ←1.37
3W ←1
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.273 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.74 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Holton
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.82)
Chad Patrick: 57 K / 3.73 ERA. Tyler Holton: 38 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).