Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategorySam
30K →35
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–2W ←1–2
0SV →1–3
Current Season
ChaseCategorySam
20K →26
1.74ERA ←2.49
1.40WHIP →1.07
1W1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Silseth
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.274 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.79 is 1.97 above the ERA — regression coming
Sam Moll
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.79 is 0.90 above the ERA — regression coming
Chase Silseth: 30 K / 3.70 ERA. Sam Moll: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).