Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryMichael
84K →89
4.54ERA ←5.26
1.43WHIP ←1.47
0–0W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryMichael
35K →43
6.90ERA ←7.22
1.71WHIP ←1.90
0W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Paddack
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.353 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Michael Lorenzen
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.89 +1.79 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Chris Paddack: 84 K / 4.54 ERA. Michael Lorenzen: 89 K / 5.26 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).