Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryRhett
71K ←59
4.50ERA ←4.67
1.42WHIP ←1.49
0–0W →4–8
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryRhett
35K ←31
6.90ERA →5.01
1.71WHIP →1.45
0W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Paddack
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.352 elevated and unstable — the 7.17 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.72 is +0.62 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Rhett Lowder
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.98 +0.88 vs league with no luck excuse
Chris Paddack: 71 K / 4.50 ERA. Rhett Lowder: 59 K / 4.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).