Rest of Season Projection
CionelCategoryRyan
25K →26
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W2–5
0SV0
Current Season
CionelCategoryRyan
10K →12
5.82ERA →2.75
1.59WHIP →1.17
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cionel Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.263 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 8.39 is 2.71 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.262 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.67 is 1.14 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cionel Pérez: 25 K / 3.70 ERA. Ryan Thompson: 26 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).