Rest of Season Projection
ColeCategoryWalbert
99K ←75
4.22ERA →3.27
1.33WHIP ←1.46
1–3W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
ColeCategoryWalbert
45K ←41
4.84ERA →2.44
1.42WHIP →1.38
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cole Ragans
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.93)
Walbert Ureña
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.259 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.27 is 0.83 above the ERA — regression coming
Cole Ragans: 100 K / 4.21 ERA. Walbert Ureña: 76 K / 3.27 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).