Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryWalbert
60K →75
4.10ERA →3.27
1.30WHIP ←1.46
2–5W2–5
0SV0
Current Season
CadeCategoryWalbert
12K →41
5.12ERA →2.44
1.34WHIP ←1.38
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Povich
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.20)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Walbert Ureña
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.259 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.27 is 0.83 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Povich: 61 K / 4.10 ERA. Walbert Ureña: 76 K / 3.27 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).