Rest of Season Projection
ColinCategoryRyne
35K →51
3.69ERA ←3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.25
3–8W ←1–3
0SV →1–3
Current Season
ColinCategoryRyne
23K →30
2.14ERA ←5.56
0.81WHIP ←1.76
3W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colin Holderman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.208 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.69 is 0.73 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryne Stanek
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.344 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Colin Holderman: 35 K / 3.69 ERA. Ryne Stanek: 51 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).