Rest of Season Projection
CorbinCategoryJulio
13HR →14
54R ←45
41RBI →42
10SB ←7
.267AVG ←.252
Current Season
CorbinCategoryJulio
7HR →12
37R ←32
28RBI →30
7SB ←5
.286AVG ←.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Corbin Carroll
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.346 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.361 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Julio Rodríguez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Corbin Carroll: 13 HR / 54 R. Julio Rodríguez: 14 HR / 45 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).