Rest of Season Projection
CorbinCategoryRandy
14HR ←13
57R →63
43RBI ←40
11SB →26
.266AVG ←.263
Current Season
CorbinCategoryRandy
7HR ←6
37R →41
28RBI ←26
7SB →17
.286AVG.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Corbin Carroll
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.351 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.364 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Randy Arozarena
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.342, +0.027 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Corbin Carroll: 14 HR / 57 R. Randy Arozarena: 13 HR / 63 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).