Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryTrent
36K ←24
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W →3–7
0SV0
Current Season
DavidCategoryTrent
17K ←6
5.28ERA →1.98
1.89WHIP →0.88
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Morgan
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 sits 0.62 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.404 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Trent Thornton
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.160 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.08 is 3.08 above the ERA — regression coming
David Morgan: 36 K / 3.70 ERA. Trent Thornton: 24 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).