Rest of Season Projection
DennisCategoryRyan
31K ←21
3.75ERA →3.70
1.26WHIP →1.24
2–4W →3–8
2–4SV ←0
Current Season
DennisCategoryRyan
19K ←16
4.81ERA →2.89
1.48WHIP →1.39
2W →3
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dennis Santana
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.08)
Ryan Rolison
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.09 is 1.84 above the ERA — regression coming
Dennis Santana: 31 K / 3.75 ERA. Ryan Rolison: 21 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).