Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategoryRyan
35K ←21
3.61ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–4W →3–8
0SV0
Current Season
JustinCategoryRyan
26K ←16
3.54ERA →2.89
1.11WHIP ←1.39
2W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Sterner
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.49)
Ryan Rolison
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.09 is 1.84 above the ERA — regression coming
Justin Sterner: 35 K / 3.61 ERA. Ryan Rolison: 21 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).