Rest of Season Projection
DrewCategoryLawrence
5HR →8
27R →32
27RBI ←26
0SB →7
.209AVG →.224
Current Season
DrewCategoryLawrence
3HR3
12R →17
12RBI →14
0SB →4
.231AVG ←.164
What Each Player's System Trusts
Drew Gilbert
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.255)
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.206 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Drew Gilbert: 5 HR / 27 R. Lawrence Butler: 8 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).