Rest of Season Projection
DrewCategoryHoby
35K ←25
3.70ERA ←3.78
1.24WHIP ←1.25
0–0W →1–2
0SV →1–2
Current Season
DrewCategoryHoby
15K ←12
6.11ERA →2.49
1.75WHIP →1.03
0W →1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Drew Pomeranz
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.54)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.25 is 1.39 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Drew Pomeranz: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Hoby Milner: 25 K / 3.78 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).