Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategoryTyler
25K →35
3.78ERA →3.71
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
HobyCategoryTyler
12K →26
2.49ERA ←4.28
1.03WHIP ←1.24
1W ←0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.25 is 1.39 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tyler Wells
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.90)
Hoby Milner: 25 K / 3.78 ERA. Tyler Wells: 35 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).