Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryHoby
66K ←31
3.60ERA ←3.76
1.22WHIP ←1.25
2–5W ←1–3
23–43SV ←1–3
Current Season
CadeCategoryHoby
42K ←12
2.60ERA →2.49
1.08WHIP →1.03
2W ←1
20SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.217 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.91 is 2.58 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Hoby Milner: 31 K / 3.76 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).