MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 1, 2026
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Dustin May.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dustin May wins 2 categories (ERA, W); Ryne Nelson wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dustin May
96.9
Ryne Nelson
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
10.5%
Ryne Nelson
11.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
23.1%
Ryne Nelson
17.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dustin May
29.8%
Ryne Nelson
34.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
46.1%
Ryne Nelson
43.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
6.5%
Ryne Nelson
10.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dustin May
.306
Ryne Nelson
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dustin May
3.545.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.91
Ryne Nelson
3.545.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.82
4.84
WHIPlower is better
Dustin May
1.121.40
now 1.30
1.33
Ryne Nelson
1.121.40
now 1.19
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dustin May
4058
now 51
37
Ryne Nelson
4058
now 52
37
Winshigher is better
Dustin May
.2003.80
now 3
13
Ryne Nelson
.2003.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDustin May — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.74
SellRyne Nelson — sell.conf 0.89
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