MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Zebby Matthews
Zebby Matthews
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dustin May wins 2 (ERA, W); Zebby Matthews wins 2 (K, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dustin May
96.9
Zebby Matthews
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
10.3%
Zebby Matthews
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
22.5%
Zebby Matthews
20.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dustin May
31.0%
Zebby Matthews
28.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
46.4%
Zebby Matthews
37.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
7.2%
Zebby Matthews
12.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dustin May
.300
Zebby Matthews
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dustin May
3.305.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.68
Zebby Matthews
3.305.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.63
4.19
WHIPlower is better
Dustin May
.9201.41
now 1.30
1.28
Zebby Matthews
.9201.41
now 1.03
1.22

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dustin May
4091.20
now 51
61
Zebby Matthews
4091.20
now 24
72
Winshigher is better
Dustin May
.0006.60
now 3
25
Zebby Matthews
.0006.60
now 1
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyDustin May — buy.conf 0.73
Hold · steadyZebby Matthews — hold.conf 0.60
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