MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Dylan Cease
TOR · P
Change to
Portrait of Jesús Luzardo
Jesús Luzardo
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dylan Cease wins 2 (K, WHIP); Jesús Luzardo wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dylan Cease
97.6
Jesús Luzardo
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dylan Cease
16.3%
Jesús Luzardo
14.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dylan Cease
36.3%
Jesús Luzardo
29.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dylan Cease
33.1%
Jesús Luzardo
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dylan Cease
33.0%
Jesús Luzardo
30.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dylan Cease
5.4%
Jesús Luzardo
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dylan Cease
.267
Jesús Luzardo
.266
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dylan Cease
2.354.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.91
2.94
Jesús Luzardo
2.354.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.30
2.91
WHIPlower is better
Dylan Cease
1.091.38
now 1.16
1.21
Jesús Luzardo
1.091.38
now 1.31
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dylan Cease
47119
now 103
79
Jesús Luzardo
47119
now 78
63
Winshigher is better
Dylan Cease
.8006.20
now 3
23
Jesús Luzardo
.8006.20
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyDylan Cease — buy.conf 0.92
Buy LowJesús Luzardo — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.76
Tweet