MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 25, 2026
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Juan Mejia
Juan Mejia
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Elvis Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Juan Mejia’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Elvis Alvarado wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Juan Mejia wins 2 (K, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
98.7
Juan Mejia
97.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
17.8%
Juan Mejia
14.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
32.1%
Juan Mejia
22.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
31.6%
Juan Mejia
34.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
52.2%
Juan Mejia
38.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
17.4%
Juan Mejia
3.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
.308
Juan Mejia
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
3.70
Juan Mejia
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
.9902.11
now 1.86
1.24
Juan Mejia
.9902.11
now 1.70
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
4049.60
now 9
20
Juan Mejia
4049.60
now 30
38
Winshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.00010.80
now 2
38
Juan Mejia
.00010.80
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.0007
now 0
0
Juan Mejia
.0007
now 3
25
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeElvis Alvarado — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowJuan Mejia — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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