Rest of Season Projection
EmersonCategoryZack
92K ←89
4.14ERA →3.91
1.13WHIP ←1.27
4–8W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
EmersonCategoryZack
70K ←40
2.80ERA →2.27
0.95WHIP →0.85
4W4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Emerson Hancock
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.16 is 1.36 above the ERA — regression coming
Zack Wheeler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.197 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.20 is 0.89 above the ERA — regression coming
Emerson Hancock: 92 K / 4.14 ERA. Zack Wheeler: 89 K / 3.91 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).