Rest of Season Projection
GarrettCategoryWade
8HR ←6
33R ←20
44RBI →54
9SB →14
.224AVG →.238
Current Season
GarrettCategoryWade
3HR ←2
21R ←3
28RBI ←8
6SB ←2
.230AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Garrett Mitchell
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.339, +0.024 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.400 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Wade Meckler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.364 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.347 is 0.035 below the surface — regression coming
Garrett Mitchell: 8 HR / 33 R. Wade Meckler: 6 HR / 20 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).