Rest of Season Projection
GavinCategoryShane
110K ←89
4.33ERA →3.71
1.20WHIP ←1.29
7–15W ←6–13
0SV0
Current Season
GavinCategoryShane
88K ←53
3.07ERA →2.45
1.09WHIP →1.02
8W ←6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gavin Williams
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.266 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.45 is 1.13 above the ERA — regression coming
Shane McClanahan
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.71)
Gavin Williams: 110 K / 4.33 ERA. Shane McClanahan: 89 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).