Rest of Season Projection
HenryCategoryJordan
4HR →6
15R →18
15RBI →26
15SB ←5
.221AVG →.225
Current Season
HenryCategoryJordan
0HR →1
4R →7
4RBI →10
4SB ←2
.288AVG ←.183
What Each Player's System Trusts
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.444 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.281 is 0.069 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jordan Beck
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.260)
Henry Bolte: 4 HR / 15 R. Jordan Beck: 6 HR / 18 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).