MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Jack Dreyer
LAD · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and saves. Jack Dreyer’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

José Alvarado wins 2 categories (K, SV); Jack Dreyer wins 1 (W); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
93.9
José Alvarado
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
13.4%
José Alvarado
14.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
28.3%
José Alvarado
28.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
32.0%
José Alvarado
34.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jack Dreyer
39.6%
José Alvarado
27.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jack Dreyer
6.6%
José Alvarado
4.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jack Dreyer
.284
José Alvarado
.297
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jack Dreyer
26.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.78
3.69
José Alvarado
26.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Jack Dreyer
.9002.13
now 1.01
1.24
José Alvarado
.9002.13
now 1.81
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jack Dreyer
4031.60
now 24
18
José Alvarado
4031.60
now 26
22
Winshigher is better
Jack Dreyer
.0002.80
now 2
12
José Alvarado
.0002.80
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Jack Dreyer
.0003.40
now 0
0
José Alvarado
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJack Dreyer — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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