Rest of Season Projection
JesúsCategoryTroy
13HR ←8
34R →38
50RBI ←41
2SB →5
.284AVG →.295
Current Season
JesúsCategoryTroy
6HR ←2
19R →23
28RBI ←25
1SB →3
.287AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jesús Sánchez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.341, +0.026 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.399 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.329 is 0.030 below the surface — regression coming
Jesús Sánchez: 13 HR / 34 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).