MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Bruihl
Justin Bruihl
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

José Alvarado wins 1 (ERA); Justin Bruihl wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.2
Justin Bruihl
91.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
12.4%
Justin Bruihl
8.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
25.6%
Justin Bruihl
15.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
31.7%
Justin Bruihl
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
31.7%
Justin Bruihl
34.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
4.3%
Justin Bruihl
5.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.312
Justin Bruihl
.324
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
3.326.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.97
Justin Bruihl
3.326.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.61
4.21
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
1.211.98
now 1.81
1.40
Justin Bruihl
1.211.98
now 1.46
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4036.40
now 26
0
Justin Bruihl
4036.40
now 18
0
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0001.48
now 1
0–0
Justin Bruihl
.0001.48
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
SellJustin Bruihl — sell.conf 0.66
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