Rest of Season Projection
JRCategoryMitch
63K →78
4.11ERA ←4.67
1.32WHIP ←1.38
2–4W →5–10
0SV0
Current Season
JRCategoryMitch
21K →51
4.56ERA →4.35
1.44WHIP →1.17
1W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
JR Ritchie
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.235 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.38 is 0.57 above the ERA — regression coming
Mitch Keller
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.98 +0.88 vs league with no luck excuse
JR Ritchie: 63 K / 4.11 ERA. Mitch Keller: 78 K / 4.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).