Rest of Season Projection
JuanCategoryKevin
49K ←33
3.71ERA →3.69
1.26WHIP →1.24
1–2W →3–7
3–6SV ←1–6
Current Season
JuanCategoryKevin
30K ←19
6.00ERA →2.67
1.70WHIP →0.81
1W →3
3SV ←2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Juan Mejia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.372 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Kevin Kelly
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.53 is 0.86 above the ERA — regression coming
Juan Mejia: 49 K / 3.71 ERA. Kevin Kelly: 33 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).