MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Justin Bruihl
Justin Bruihl
STL · P
Change to
Matt Svanson
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Justin Bruihl wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Matt Svanson wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
91.6
Matt Svanson
97.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
8.1%
Matt Svanson
8.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
15.2%
Matt Svanson
19.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Justin Bruihl
28.3%
Matt Svanson
24.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Justin Bruihl
36.6%
Matt Svanson
43.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Justin Bruihl
4.3%
Matt Svanson
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Justin Bruihl
.320
Matt Svanson
.368
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Justin Bruihl
2.228.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.61
4.09
Matt Svanson
2.228.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.77
5.14
WHIPlower is better
Justin Bruihl
1.212.16
now 1.46
1.42
Matt Svanson
1.212.16
now 1.95
1.43

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Justin Bruihl
4031.60
now 18
13
Matt Svanson
4031.60
now 26
22
Winshigher is better
Justin Bruihl
.0001.48
now 0
00
Matt Svanson
.0001.48
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellJustin Bruihl — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans sellMatt Svanson — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet