MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Matt Svanson
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Svanson wins 2 (K, W); Ryan Watson wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Svanson
97.0
Ryan Watson
94.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Svanson
8.9%
Ryan Watson
11.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Svanson
19.9%
Ryan Watson
18.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Svanson
24.2%
Ryan Watson
31.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Svanson
43.5%
Ryan Watson
38.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Svanson
6.5%
Ryan Watson
11.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Svanson
.368
Ryan Watson
.363
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Svanson
3.528.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.77
5.14
Ryan Watson
3.528.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.35
5.02
WHIPlower is better
Matt Svanson
1.102.19
now 1.95
1.43
Ryan Watson
1.102.19
now 1.46
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Svanson
4034.60
now 26
22
Ryan Watson
4034.60
now 29
19
Winshigher is better
Matt Svanson
.0001.48
now 1
01
Ryan Watson
.0001.48
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellMatt Svanson — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighRyan Watson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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