MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Matt Svanson
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 5 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W, SV); Matt Svanson wins 0 (none).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
Matt Svanson
97.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.2%
Matt Svanson
9.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
35.3%
Matt Svanson
21.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.8%
Matt Svanson
24.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
44.8%
Matt Svanson
45.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.3%
Matt Svanson
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.282
Matt Svanson
.360
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.67
Matt Svanson
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.77
3.80
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9002.30
now 1.08
1.23
Matt Svanson
.9002.30
now 1.95
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4049.20
now 42
33
Matt Svanson
4049.20
now 26
24
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0002.80
now 2
12
Matt Svanson
.0002.80
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00028
now 20
1120
Matt Svanson
.00028
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeMatt Svanson — hold.conf 0.55
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