Rest of Season Projection
LandenCategorySpencer
113K ←98
3.28ERA ←4.24
1.34WHIP ←1.35
5–12W →10–21
0SV0
Current Season
LandenCategorySpencer
72K ←43
4.22ERA →1.34
1.31WHIP →1.13
5W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Landen Roupp
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.325 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.212 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.69 is 3.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Landen Roupp: 113 K / 3.28 ERA. Spencer Arrighetti: 98 K / 4.24 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).