MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 5, 2026
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Portrait of Lucas Erceg
Lucas Erceg
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Louis Varland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Louis Varland wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Lucas Erceg wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Louis Varland
98.6
Lucas Erceg
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Louis Varland
15.2%
Lucas Erceg
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Louis Varland
32.9%
Lucas Erceg
15.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Louis Varland
36.5%
Lucas Erceg
28.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Louis Varland
36.1%
Lucas Erceg
39.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Louis Varland
2.3%
Lucas Erceg
5.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Louis Varland
.231
Lucas Erceg
.336
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Louis Varland
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
2.20
Lucas Erceg
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.33
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Louis Varland
.9002.28
now 1.03
1.13
Lucas Erceg
.9002.28
now 1.92
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Louis Varland
4052.40
now 42
20
Lucas Erceg
4052.40
now 18
16
Winshigher is better
Louis Varland
.2003.80
now 2
12
Lucas Erceg
.2003.80
now 3
13
Saveshigher is better
Louis Varland
.00014.20
now 8
36
Lucas Erceg
.00014.20
now 11
510
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
Hold · wait & seeLucas Erceg — hold.conf 0.55
Tweet