MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Lucas Giolito
Lucas Giolito
SD · P
Change to
Portrait of Walker Buehler
Walker Buehler
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Lucas Giolito.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Walker Buehler’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Lucas Giolito wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Walker Buehler wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Walker Buehler
94.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Walker Buehler
9.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Walker Buehler
20.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Walker Buehler
27.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Walker Buehler
38.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
Walker Buehler
8.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
.358
Walker Buehler
.314
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lucas Giolito
3.755.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
Walker Buehler
3.755.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.88
4.13
WHIPlower is better
Lucas Giolito
1.121.92
now 1.74
1.30
Walker Buehler
1.121.92
now 1.32
1.37

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lucas Giolito
4057.80
now 6
7
Walker Buehler
4057.80
now 43
10
Winshigher is better
Lucas Giolito
.0004.20
now 2
12
Walker Buehler
.0004.20
now 3
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · steadyWalker Buehler — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet