Rest of Season Projection
LukeCategoryOneil
14HR →19
41R →63
58RBI →61
2SB →28
.234AVG →.242
Current Season
LukeCategoryOneil
13HR13
22R →42
31RBI →41
1SB →19
.276AVG ←.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luke Raley
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.382, +0.067 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Luke Raley: 14 HR / 41 R. Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).