Rest of Season Projection
LukeCategorySam
38K →43
3.66ERA ←3.68
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–5W ←1–3
0SV →1–3
Current Season
LukeCategorySam
25K →26
2.77ERA →2.49
1.04WHIP ←1.07
2W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luke Weaver
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.01)
Sam Moll
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.213 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.34 is 0.95 above the ERA — regression coming
Luke Weaver: 38 K / 3.66 ERA. Sam Moll: 43 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).