Rest of Season Projection
MarkCategoryWill
34K ←33
3.72ERA →3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →1–2
4–7SV ←1–2
Current Season
MarkCategoryWill
25K ←20
5.47ERA ←7.23
1.46WHIP →1.45
0W →1
4SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mark Leiter Jr.
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.24 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.351 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Will Vest
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.60 sits 0.50 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.357 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Mark Leiter Jr.: 34 K / 3.72 ERA. Will Vest: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).